[
  {
    "id": "1",
    "window": "25 Oct 2026",
    "claim": "Flávio Bolsonaro wins Brazil's runoff",
    "probability": "60%",
    "signature": "Venus retrograde; first-round lead",
    "original_row": "| 1 | 25 Oct 2026 | Flávio Bolsonaro wins Brazil's runoff | 60% | Venus retrograde; first-round lead |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "2",
    "window": "27 Oct 2026",
    "claim": "No Israeli bloc reaches 61 on election night",
    "probability": "70%",
    "signature": "Jupiter square Israel Sun",
    "original_row": "| 2 | 27 Oct 2026 | No Israeli bloc reaches 61 on election night | 70% | Jupiter square Israel Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "3",
    "window": "by 31 Dec 2026",
    "claim": "Netanyahu does not lead the next Israeli government",
    "probability": "60%",
    "signature": "Saturn opposite Israel Asc (May 2027)",
    "original_row": "| 3 | by 31 Dec 2026 | Netanyahu does not lead the next Israeli government | 60% | Saturn opposite Israel Asc (May 2027) |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "4",
    "window": "by 15 Nov 2026",
    "claim": "No direct Saudi-Iran exchange of fire",
    "probability": "65%",
    "signature": "Venus retrograde holds the lid",
    "original_row": "| 4 | by 15 Nov 2026 | No direct Saudi-Iran exchange of fire | 65% | Venus retrograde holds the lid |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "5",
    "window": "Oct 2026",
    "claim": "S&P 500 closes October below 7,819",
    "probability": "80%",
    "signature": "Retrograde review of money",
    "original_row": "| 5 | Oct 2026 | S&P 500 closes October below 7,819 | 80% | Retrograde review of money |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "6",
    "window": "31 Dec 2026",
    "claim": "S&P 500 ends 2026 below 7,819",
    "probability": "65%",
    "signature": "Three stations in December",
    "original_row": "| 6 | 31 Dec 2026 | S&P 500 ends 2026 below 7,819 | 65% | Three stations in December |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "7",
    "window": "by 31 Dec 2026",
    "claim": "No published METR 50% horizon above 24 h",
    "probability": "60%",
    "signature": "Measurement limit",
    "original_row": "| 7 | by 31 Dec 2026 | No published METR 50% horizon above 24 h | 60% | Measurement limit |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "8",
    "window": "3 Nov 2026",
    "claim": "Democrats take the US House",
    "probability": "80%",
    "signature": "Node on US Moon",
    "original_row": "| 8 | 3 Nov 2026 | Democrats take the US House | 80% | Node on US Moon |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "9",
    "window": "3 Nov 2026",
    "claim": "Senate stays Republican",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "",
    "original_row": "| 9 | 3 Nov 2026 | Senate stays Republican | 55% | |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "10",
    "window": "29 Nov 2026",
    "claim": "PP wins most seats in Spain and forms government with Vox",
    "probability": "65%",
    "signature": "Pluto on Spain Asc 7 Dec",
    "original_row": "| 10 | 29 Nov 2026 | PP wins most seats in Spain and forms government with Vox | 65% | Pluto on Spain Asc 7 Dec |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "11",
    "window": "Nov 2026",
    "claim": "A G20 government or state signs a multi-GW dedicated AI power deal",
    "probability": "65%",
    "signature": "Juno conjunct Pluto",
    "original_row": "| 11 | Nov 2026 | A G20 government or state signs a multi-GW dedicated AI power deal | 65% | Juno conjunct Pluto |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "12",
    "window": "31 Dec 2026",
    "claim": "US blockade of Iran still in force",
    "probability": "70%",
    "signature": "Neptune on war chart Saturn",
    "original_row": "| 12 | 31 Dec 2026 | US blockade of Iran still in force | 70% | Neptune on war chart Saturn |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "13",
    "window": "31 Dec 2026",
    "claim": "Fed policy rate at least 4.00 to 4.25%",
    "probability": "60%",
    "signature": "Measured CPI 3.7%",
    "original_row": "| 13 | 31 Dec 2026 | Fed policy rate at least 4.00 to 4.25% | 60% | Measured CPI 3.7% |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "14",
    "window": "after 11 Dec 2026",
    "claim": "A US appropriations lapse of at least one day",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Mars square Uranus 4 Dec",
    "original_row": "| 14 | after 11 Dec 2026 | A US appropriations lapse of at least one day | 50% | Mars square Uranus 4 Dec |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "15",
    "window": "by 15 Dec 2026",
    "claim": "Security Council recommends a Secretary-General; Grynspan",
    "probability": "75% / 55%",
    "signature": "Pluto in Aquarius, Node on US Moon",
    "original_row": "| 15 | by 15 Dec 2026 | Security Council recommends a Secretary-General; Grynspan | 75% / 55% | Pluto in Aquarius, Node on US Moon |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "16",
    "window": "31 Dec 2026",
    "claim": "UNIFIL lapses with no successor force on the ground",
    "probability": "60%",
    "signature": "",
    "original_row": "| 16 | 31 Dec 2026 | UNIFIL lapses with no successor force on the ground | 60% | |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "17",
    "window": "1 Dec 2026 to 31 Jan 2027",
    "claim": "Bitcoin trades below $70,000",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "",
    "original_row": "| 17 | 1 Dec 2026 to 31 Jan 2027 | Bitcoin trades below $70,000 | 55% | |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "18",
    "window": "10 Dec 2026 to 31 Jan 2027",
    "claim": "A top-four lab announces a model running a full working week autonomously",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Jupiter stationary Leo, Mercury out of bounds",
    "original_row": "| 18 | 10 Dec 2026 to 31 Jan 2027 | A top-four lab announces a model running a full working week autonomously | 55% | Jupiter stationary Leo, Mercury out of bounds |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "19",
    "window": "10 Jan to 1 Apr 2027",
    "claim": "A national AI-layoff strike in a G20 country",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Mars retrograde in Virgo",
    "original_row": "| 19 | 10 Jan to 1 Apr 2027 | A national AI-layoff strike in a G20 country | 50% | Mars retrograde in Virgo |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "20",
    "window": "Jan to Sep 2027",
    "claim": "A G7 regulator approves autonomous AI diagnosis or triage",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Mars retrograde Virgo; Jupiter into Virgo",
    "original_row": "| 20 | Jan to Sep 2027 | A G7 regulator approves autonomous AI diagnosis or triage | 50% | Mars retrograde Virgo; Jupiter into Virgo |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "21",
    "window": "16 Jan 2027",
    "claim": "Tinubu wins Nigeria; result challenged in court",
    "probability": "60% / 80%",
    "signature": "Node on Nigeria Moon (May)",
    "original_row": "| 21 | 16 Jan 2027 | Tinubu wins Nigeria; result challenged in court | 60% / 80% | Node on Nigeria Moon (May) |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "22",
    "window": "by 31 Dec 2027",
    "claim": "Merz coalition does not survive in present form",
    "probability": "60%",
    "signature": "Saturn opposite Germany Sun",
    "original_row": "| 22 | by 31 Dec 2027 | Merz coalition does not survive in present form | 60% | Saturn opposite Germany Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "23",
    "window": "by 30 Jun 2027",
    "claim": "UK announces a customs-union negotiation mandate",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Saturn square UK Sun and MC",
    "original_row": "| 23 | by 30 Jun 2027 | UK announces a customs-union negotiation mandate | 55% | Saturn square UK Sun and MC |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "24",
    "window": "late Jan 2027",
    "claim": "Big-four 2027 capex guided above $900B aggregate",
    "probability": "65%",
    "signature": "Measured rate",
    "original_row": "| 24 | late Jan 2027 | Big-four 2027 capex guided above $900B aggregate | 65% | Measured rate |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "25",
    "window": "6 Feb to 2 May 2027",
    "claim": "An EU member proposes to leave/suspend a treaty obligation, or the AI Omnibus timetable is reopened",
    "probability": "60%",
    "signature": "Eclipse opposite EU Asc (0.34°)",
    "original_row": "| 25 | 6 Feb to 2 May 2027 | An EU member proposes to leave/suspend a treaty obligation, or the AI Omnibus timetable is reopened | 60% | Eclipse opposite EU Asc (0.34°) |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "26",
    "window": "Feb to Apr 2027",
    "claim": "M7.5+ quake or cabinet-level crisis in Chile or Argentina",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Eclipse path",
    "original_row": "| 26 | Feb to Apr 2027 | M7.5+ quake or cabinet-level crisis in Chile or Argentina | 45% | Eclipse path |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "27",
    "window": "21 Feb to 30 Jun 2027",
    "claim": "Apple announces a strategic reset read as an admission of being behind",
    "probability": "60%",
    "signature": "Saturn on Apple Sun and Mercury",
    "original_row": "| 27 | 21 Feb to 30 Jun 2027 | Apple announces a strategic reset read as an admission of being behind | 60% | Saturn on Apple Sun and Mercury |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "28",
    "window": "Q1 2027",
    "claim": "An export-control or supply event halts a material share of lithography/packaging for a month",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Saturn on ASML Sun; Uranus square TSMC Sun",
    "original_row": "| 28 | Q1 2027 | An export-control or supply event halts a material share of lithography/packaging for a month | 50% | Saturn on ASML Sun; Uranus square TSMC Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "29",
    "window": "1 Feb to 30 Apr 2027",
    "claim": "A leadership announcement from Tehran (Mojtaba appears, or formal transfer of authority)",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Saturn on Iran Sun",
    "original_row": "| 29 | 1 Feb to 30 Apr 2027 | A leadership announcement from Tehran (Mojtaba appears, or formal transfer of authority) | 50% | Saturn on Iran Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "30",
    "window": "Feb to May 2027",
    "claim": "Frontier-grade weights (open or stolen) become public",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Mercury retrograde Pisces",
    "original_row": "| 30 | Feb to May 2027 | Frontier-grade weights (open or stolen) become public | 55% | Mercury retrograde Pisces |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "31",
    "window": "15 Feb to 30 Apr 2027",
    "claim": "S&P 500 at least 15% below its record; Nasdaq at least 20% below",
    "probability": "55% / 55%",
    "signature": "Saturn across the Aries cohort",
    "original_row": "| 31 | 15 Feb to 30 Apr 2027 | S&P 500 at least 15% below its record; Nasdaq at least 20% below | 55% / 55% | Saturn across the Aries cohort |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "32",
    "window": "1 Mar to 31 May 2027",
    "claim": "Nvidia market cap below $4T at some point",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Saturn on Nvidia Sun 25 Mar",
    "original_row": "| 32 | 1 Mar to 31 May 2027 | Nvidia market cap below $4T at some point | 50% | Saturn on Nvidia Sun 25 Mar |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "33",
    "window": "1 Mar to 30 Apr 2027",
    "claim": "A US executive order on AI/power/trade enjoined by a federal court within 30 days",
    "probability": "65%",
    "signature": "Saturn square US Sun",
    "original_row": "| 33 | 1 Mar to 30 Apr 2027 | A US executive order on AI/power/trade enjoined by a federal court within 30 days | 65% | Saturn square US Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "34",
    "window": "Q1 to Q2 2027",
    "claim": "US announces a formal force-posture reduction in Europe",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Saturn on NATO Sun",
    "original_row": "| 34 | Q1 to Q2 2027 | US announces a formal force-posture reduction in Europe | 55% | Saturn on NATO Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "35",
    "window": "1 Mar to 30 Jun 2027",
    "claim": "OpenAI restates revenue or is disputed in a filing",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Neptune square OpenAI Mercury",
    "original_row": "| 35 | 1 Mar to 30 Jun 2027 | OpenAI restates revenue or is disputed in a filing | 50% | Neptune square OpenAI Mercury |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "36",
    "window": "H1 2027",
    "claim": "Bitcoin below $60,000",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Saturn square Bitcoin Sun",
    "original_row": "| 36 | H1 2027 | Bitcoin below $60,000 | 50% | Saturn square Bitcoin Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "37",
    "window": "2 May 2027",
    "claim": "Le Pen wins the French presidency",
    "probability": "65%",
    "signature": "Measured polls; Saturn separating from France Sun",
    "original_row": "| 37 | 2 May 2027 | Le Pen wins the French presidency | 65% | Measured polls; Saturn separating from France Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "38",
    "window": "Q2 2027",
    "claim": "Canada announces a dated trade re-alignment strategy",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Saturn on Canada Asc",
    "original_row": "| 38 | Q2 2027 | Canada announces a dated trade re-alignment strategy | 55% | Saturn on Canada Asc |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "39",
    "window": "19 Apr 2027 to 31 Dec 2028",
    "claim": "Anthropic changes its corporate or governance structure in a way that transfers control",
    "probability": "65%",
    "signature": "Pluto on Anthropic Sun x5; eclipse Jan 2028",
    "original_row": "| 39 | 19 Apr 2027 to 31 Dec 2028 | Anthropic changes its corporate or governance structure in a way that transfers control | 65% | Pluto on Anthropic Sun x5; eclipse Jan 2028 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "40",
    "window": "Q2 2027",
    "claim": "Argentina devaluation step above 15% in a month or IMF renegotiation",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Saturn square Argentina Sun and Moon",
    "original_row": "| 40 | Q2 2027 | Argentina devaluation step above 15% in a month or IMF renegotiation | 50% | Saturn square Argentina Sun and Moon |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "41",
    "window": "Apr to Jul 2027",
    "claim": "A lab publishes a measured horizon above 100 hours",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Curve",
    "original_row": "| 41 | Apr to Jul 2027 | A lab publishes a measured horizon above 100 hours | 50% | Curve |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "42",
    "window": "11 May to 31 Jul 2027",
    "claim": "A lab, government or standards body formally designates a released system as AGI or equivalent",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Uranus and Mercury on the Colossus degree",
    "original_row": "| 42 | 11 May to 31 Jul 2027 | A lab, government or standards body formally designates a released system as AGI or equivalent | 55% | Uranus and Mercury on the Colossus degree |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "43",
    "window": "1 May to 30 Jun 2027",
    "claim": "Mass public event or security collapse in a Nigerian state capital",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Node on Nigeria Moon",
    "original_row": "| 43 | 1 May to 30 Jun 2027 | Mass public event or security collapse in a Nigerian state capital | 50% | Node on Nigeria Moon |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "44",
    "window": "May to Aug 2027",
    "claim": "India named host/lead of a new AI body or signs a US compute treaty",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Node on India MC; Jupiter on India Sun",
    "original_row": "| 44 | May to Aug 2027 | India named host/lead of a new AI body or signs a US compute treaty | 50% | Node on India MC; Jupiter on India Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "45",
    "window": "May to Jun 2027",
    "claim": "Israel's new government faces no-confidence or rupture",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Saturn opposite Israel Asc",
    "original_row": "| 45 | May to Jun 2027 | Israel's new government faces no-confidence or rupture | 50% | Saturn opposite Israel Asc |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "46",
    "window": "31 May 2027",
    "claim": "Brent above $90",
    "probability": "60%",
    "signature": "Uranus approaching Aramco Sun",
    "original_row": "| 46 | 31 May 2027 | Brent above $90 | 60% | Uranus approaching Aramco Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "47",
    "window": "by 31 Jul 2027",
    "claim": "A deployed system has an independently measured 50% horizon above 160 h",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Curve; the easy triangle 14 Jun",
    "original_row": "| 47 | by 31 Jul 2027 | A deployed system has an independently measured 50% horizon above 160 h | 55% | Curve; the easy triangle 14 Jun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "48",
    "window": "23 Jun 2027 to 10 Apr 2028",
    "claim": "Public uprising or change at the top of the Iranian state",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Uranus on Iran Moon x3; Saturn dasha",
    "original_row": "| 48 | 23 Jun 2027 to 10 Apr 2028 | Public uprising or change at the top of the Iranian state | 55% | Uranus on Iran Moon x3; Saturn dasha |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "49",
    "window": "20 Jun to 15 Jul 2027",
    "claim": "Sudden change in Saudi oil policy or Aramco ownership; Brent moves >20% in four weeks",
    "probability": "55% / 55%",
    "signature": "Uranus on Aramco Sun 27 Jun",
    "original_row": "| 49 | 20 Jun to 15 Jul 2027 | Sudden change in Saudi oil policy or Aramco ownership; Brent moves >20% in four weeks | 55% / 55% | Uranus on Aramco Sun 27 Jun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "50",
    "window": "2027",
    "claim": "UN adopts no binding frontier-AI instrument",
    "probability": "80%",
    "signature": "UN sade sati begins",
    "original_row": "| 50 | 2027 | UN adopts no binding frontier-AI instrument | 80% | UN sade sati begins |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "51",
    "window": "by 31 Dec 2027",
    "claim": "EU Annex III obligations not deferred again",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "",
    "original_row": "| 51 | by 31 Dec 2027 | EU Annex III obligations not deferred again | 55% | |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "52",
    "window": "30 Jun 2027",
    "claim": "S&P 500 above its 1 Mar 2027 level",
    "probability": "65%",
    "signature": "Ease 71",
    "original_row": "| 52 | 30 Jun 2027 | S&P 500 above its 1 Mar 2027 level | 65% | Ease 71 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "53",
    "window": "25 Jul 2027 to 31 May 2028",
    "claim": "OpenAI completes its IPO or undergoes a structural rupture; IPO prices in window",
    "probability": "65% / 55%",
    "signature": "Uranus opposite OpenAI Saturn x3",
    "original_row": "| 53 | 25 Jul 2027 to 31 May 2028 | OpenAI completes its IPO or undergoes a structural rupture; IPO prices in window | 65% / 55% | Uranus opposite OpenAI Saturn x3 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "54",
    "window": "Jul 2027 to May 2028",
    "claim": "ChatGPT brand retired or replaced as primary consumer product",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Uranus opposite ChatGPT Sun x3",
    "original_row": "| 54 | Jul 2027 to May 2028 | ChatGPT brand retired or replaced as primary consumer product | 50% | Uranus opposite ChatGPT Sun x3 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "55",
    "window": "Jul 2027 to Mar 2028",
    "claim": "A flagship model publicly stated not to be a standard transformer",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Saturn on Transformer Uranus x3",
    "original_row": "| 55 | Jul 2027 to Mar 2028 | A flagship model publicly stated not to be a standard transformer | 50% | Saturn on Transformer Uranus x3 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "56",
    "window": "Jul to Aug 2027",
    "claim": "A formal US national AI declaration on the scale of a national program",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "US Uranus return; Jupiter on Regulus",
    "original_row": "| 56 | Jul to Aug 2027 | A formal US national AI declaration on the scale of a national program | 55% | US Uranus return; Jupiter on Regulus |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "57",
    "window": "Jul to Aug 2027",
    "claim": "Monsoon or heat disaster >1,000 deaths in India or Pakistan",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Saturn square India Moon; El Niño",
    "original_row": "| 57 | Jul to Aug 2027 | Monsoon or heat disaster >1,000 deaths in India or Pakistan | 50% | Saturn square India Moon; El Niño |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "58",
    "window": "by 31 Jul 2027",
    "claim": "Starship's first full orbital flight with payload deployment; Artemis III does not fly in 2027",
    "probability": "65% / 80%",
    "signature": "Uranus on SpaceX Saturn",
    "original_row": "| 58 | by 31 Jul 2027 | Starship's first full orbital flight with payload deployment; Artemis III does not fly in 2027 | 65% / 80% | Uranus on SpaceX Saturn |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "59",
    "window": "Aug to Oct 2027",
    "claim": "Chinese humanoid industry's first shock (export ban, recall, or listing collapse)",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Eclipse on Unitree Sun",
    "original_row": "| 59 | Aug to Oct 2027 | Chinese humanoid industry's first shock (export ban, recall, or listing collapse) | 50% | Eclipse on Unitree Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "60",
    "window": "25 Aug to 10 Sep 2027",
    "claim": "Major strike on Gulf energy/shipping or Saudi-Iran exchange",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Leo eclipse over Arabia; Mars opposite Saturn 29 Aug",
    "original_row": "| 60 | 25 Aug to 10 Sep 2027 | Major strike on Gulf energy/shipping or Saudi-Iran exchange | 55% | Leo eclipse over Arabia; Mars opposite Saturn 29 Aug |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "61",
    "window": "2027",
    "claim": "Brent above $130 at some point",
    "probability": "30%",
    "signature": "",
    "original_row": "| 61 | 2027 | Brent above $130 at some point | 30% | |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "62",
    "window": "around 2 Aug 2027",
    "claim": "Eclipse-path disaster or security event (Spain heat >5,000 deaths, or North Africa incident)",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Eclipse path",
    "original_row": "| 62 | around 2 Aug 2027 | Eclipse-path disaster or security event (Spain heat >5,000 deaths, or North Africa incident) | 50% | Eclipse path |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "63",
    "window": "Aug to Dec 2027",
    "claim": "Google forced into a structural change by court, regulator or government",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Eclipse on Google Mars, opposite Uranus",
    "original_row": "| 63 | Aug to Dec 2027 | Google forced into a structural change by court, regulator or government | 50% | Eclipse on Google Mars, opposite Uranus |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "64",
    "window": "within a year of 2 Aug 2027",
    "claim": "Change of government or succession announcement in Morocco, Egypt or Saudi Arabia",
    "probability": "40%",
    "signature": "Eclipse path",
    "original_row": "| 64 | within a year of 2 Aug 2027 | Change of government or succession announcement in Morocco, Egypt or Saudi Arabia | 40% | Eclipse path |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "65",
    "window": "Aug 2027 to Mar 2028",
    "claim": "Bitcoin drawdown from 2026 high exceeds 50%",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Eclipse on Bitcoin prenatal eclipse point",
    "original_row": "| 65 | Aug 2027 to Mar 2028 | Bitcoin drawdown from 2026 high exceeds 50% | 45% | Eclipse on Bitcoin prenatal eclipse point |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "66",
    "window": "2027",
    "claim": "2027 global temperature beats 2024's record",
    "probability": "70%",
    "signature": "Measured El Niño",
    "original_row": "| 66 | 2027 | 2027 global temperature beats 2024's record | 70% | Measured El Niño |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "67",
    "window": "summer 2027",
    "claim": "European excess deaths above 20,000",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "",
    "original_row": "| 67 | summer 2027 | European excess deaths above 20,000 | 45% | |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "68",
    "window": "Sep 2027 to Mar 2028",
    "claim": "A G7 health system contracts autonomous AI triage at national scale",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Jupiter in Virgo square Uranus",
    "original_row": "| 68 | Sep 2027 to Mar 2028 | A G7 health system contracts autonomous AI triage at national scale | 50% | Jupiter in Virgo square Uranus |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "69",
    "window": "same window",
    "claim": "First mass-casualty error attributed to an autonomous medical system",
    "probability": "25%",
    "signature": "Shadow of 68",
    "original_row": "| 69 | same window | First mass-casualty error attributed to an autonomous medical system | 25% | Shadow of 68 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "70",
    "window": "by 31 Dec 2027",
    "claim": "A collective agreement with AI revenue-sharing or displacement pay covering 100,000+ workers",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Jupiter square Uranus; 2026 templates",
    "original_row": "| 70 | by 31 Dec 2027 | A collective agreement with AI revenue-sharing or displacement pay covering 100,000+ workers | 50% | Jupiter square Uranus; 2026 templates |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "71",
    "window": "1 Sep to 31 Dec 2027",
    "claim": "A signed agreement reopens Hormuz to regular transit",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Jupiter opposite Iran war Sun",
    "original_row": "| 71 | 1 Sep to 31 Dec 2027 | A signed agreement reopens Hormuz to regular transit | 50% | Jupiter opposite Iran war Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "72",
    "window": "Aug to Sep 2027",
    "claim": "Kenya's election result disputed with court challenge and street protest",
    "probability": "60%",
    "signature": "Jupiter and Uranus on Kenya Asc",
    "original_row": "| 72 | Aug to Sep 2027 | Kenya's election result disputed with court challenge and street protest | 60% | Jupiter and Uranus on Kenya Asc |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "73",
    "window": "by 31 Dec 2027",
    "claim": "Takaichi faces a leadership challenge or calls a snap election",
    "probability": "40%",
    "signature": "Saturn square Japan Asc",
    "original_row": "| 73 | by 31 Dec 2027 | Takaichi faces a leadership challenge or calls a snap election | 40% | Saturn square Japan Asc |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "74",
    "window": "20 Oct to 15 Nov 2027",
    "claim": "AI-agent cyber incident disables national critical infrastructure >24 h in a G20 country",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Mars opposite Uranus on US Asc",
    "original_row": "| 74 | 20 Oct to 15 Nov 2027 | AI-agent cyber incident disables national critical infrastructure >24 h in a G20 country | 50% | Mars opposite Uranus on US Asc |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "75",
    "window": "by mid 2028",
    "claim": "Mandatory agent-identity and kill-switch rules become law somewhere",
    "probability": "60%",
    "signature": "Follows 74",
    "original_row": "| 75 | by mid 2028 | Mandatory agent-identity and kill-switch rules become law somewhere | 60% | Follows 74 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "76",
    "window": "24 Oct 2027",
    "claim": "La Libertad Avanza loses Argentina's presidency",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Saturn square Argentina Sun/Moon (Apr)",
    "original_row": "| 76 | 24 Oct 2027 | La Libertad Avanza loses Argentina's presidency | 55% | Saturn square Argentina Sun/Moon (Apr) |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "77",
    "window": "Q4 2027",
    "claim": "German coalition collapse or confidence vote",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Jupiter opposite Germany Moon",
    "original_row": "| 77 | Q4 2027 | German coalition collapse or confidence vote | 50% | Jupiter opposite Germany Moon |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "78",
    "window": "Q4 2027",
    "claim": "A major stablecoin or exchange failure",
    "probability": "40%",
    "signature": "Neptune on Bitcoin Moon",
    "original_row": "| 78 | Q4 2027 | A major stablecoin or exchange failure | 40% | Neptune on Bitcoin Moon |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "79",
    "window": "Q4 2027",
    "claim": "S&P 500 does not fall below its April 2027 low",
    "probability": "65%",
    "signature": "",
    "original_row": "| 79 | Q4 2027 | S&P 500 does not fall below its April 2027 low | 65% | |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "80",
    "window": "Nov 2027 to Mar 2028",
    "claim": "US-China formal agreement on frontier-model notification or testing",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Pluto conjunct North Node",
    "original_row": "| 80 | Nov 2027 to Mar 2028 | US-China formal agreement on frontier-model notification or testing | 50% | Pluto conjunct North Node |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "81",
    "window": "by 31 Dec 2027",
    "claim": "Three G20 governments outside the US and China fund sovereign frontier programs above $10B each",
    "probability": "65%",
    "signature": "",
    "original_row": "| 81 | by 31 Dec 2027 | Three G20 governments outside the US and China fund sovereign frontier programs above $10B each | 65% | |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "82",
    "window": "by 30 Nov 2028",
    "claim": "PP-Vox government survives its first year",
    "probability": "60%",
    "signature": "Node on Spain Asc",
    "original_row": "| 82 | by 30 Nov 2028 | PP-Vox government survives its first year | 60% | Node on Spain Asc |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "83",
    "window": "Q4 2027 to Q1 2028",
    "claim": "Chilean lithium or copper nationalization-scale deal or price event",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Jupiter on Chile Sun",
    "original_row": "| 83 | Q4 2027 to Q1 2028 | Chilean lithium or copper nationalization-scale deal or price event | 45% | Jupiter on Chile Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "84",
    "window": "31 Dec 2027",
    "claim": "A Russia-Ukraine ceasefire holding at least 30 days exists",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Rahu in Uttara Ashadha; Saturn direct",
    "original_row": "| 84 | 31 Dec 2027 | A Russia-Ukraine ceasefire holding at least 30 days exists | 45% | Rahu in Uttara Ashadha; Saturn direct |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "85",
    "window": "Q4 2027 to Q1 2028",
    "claim": "China announces a national birth subsidy or a retirement-age change beyond 2025's",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Node on China Moon",
    "original_row": "| 85 | Q4 2027 to Q1 2028 | China announces a national birth subsidy or a retirement-age change beyond 2025's | 50% | Node on China Moon |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "86",
    "window": "by 31 Mar 2028",
    "claim": "Imamoglu convicted or formally barred",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Pluto square Turkey Sun x3",
    "original_row": "| 86 | by 31 Mar 2028 | Imamoglu convicted or formally barred | 55% | Pluto square Turkey Sun x3 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "87",
    "window": "31 Dec 2027",
    "claim": "S&P 500 ends 2027 above its 2026 close; 10-year yield below 4.5%",
    "probability": "55% / 45%",
    "signature": "",
    "original_row": "| 87 | 31 Dec 2027 | S&P 500 ends 2027 above its 2026 close; 10-year yield below 4.5% | 55% / 45% | |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "88",
    "window": "by 31 Mar 2028",
    "claim": "Majority of measured traffic to a top-ten commerce or search property is agent-initiated",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Mars conjunct Pluto; Pluto in Aquarius",
    "original_row": "| 88 | by 31 Mar 2028 | Majority of measured traffic to a top-ten commerce or search property is agent-initiated | 55% | Mars conjunct Pluto; Pluto in Aquarius |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "89",
    "window": "Jan 2028 to Dec 2029",
    "claim": "A change in the Federal Reserve's structure or independence",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Eclipses on Fed Uranus (2028) and Mercury (2029)",
    "original_row": "| 89 | Jan 2028 to Dec 2029 | A change in the Federal Reserve's structure or independence | 55% | Eclipses on Fed Uranus (2028) and Mercury (2029) |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "90",
    "window": "calendar 2028",
    "claim": "Global data-center construction starts exceed 20 GW; a US state enacts a construction moratorium",
    "probability": "65% / 55%",
    "signature": "Earth Monkey star 8",
    "original_row": "| 90 | calendar 2028 | Global data-center construction starts exceed 20 GW; a US state enacts a construction moratorium | 65% / 55% | Earth Monkey star 8 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "91",
    "window": "2028",
    "claim": "Ethereum governance crisis or market-splitting fork",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Pluto opposite Ethereum Sun x5",
    "original_row": "| 91 | 2028 | Ethereum governance crisis or market-splitting fork | 45% | Pluto opposite Ethereum Sun x5 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "92",
    "window": "Sep 2026 to 30 Jun 2028",
    "claim": "Frontier token price falls more than 90%",
    "probability": "75%",
    "signature": "Saturn into Taurus",
    "original_row": "| 92 | Sep 2026 to 30 Jun 2028 | Frontier token price falls more than 90% | 75% | Saturn into Taurus |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "93",
    "window": "by Dec 2028",
    "claim": "US services inflation ex shelter and energy below 2% y/y",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Saturn in Taurus",
    "original_row": "| 93 | by Dec 2028 | US services inflation ex shelter and energy below 2% y/y | 45% | Saturn in Taurus |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "94",
    "window": "Q2 2028",
    "claim": "A G7 court or legislature rules on ownership of autonomous outputs with a date certain",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Mercury conjunct Uranus, both retrograde in Gemini",
    "original_row": "| 94 | Q2 2028 | A G7 court or legislature rules on ownership of autonomous outputs with a date certain | 55% | Mercury conjunct Uranus, both retrograde in Gemini |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "95",
    "window": "by mid 2028",
    "claim": "AI-written share of production code passes two-thirds",
    "probability": "60%",
    "signature": "Curve",
    "original_row": "| 95 | by mid 2028 | AI-written share of production code passes two-thirds | 60% | Curve |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "96",
    "window": "Jun 2028 to Mar 2029",
    "claim": "Digital euro live for the public, or an emergency ECB program",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Uranus on ECB Sun x3",
    "original_row": "| 96 | Jun 2028 to Mar 2029 | Digital euro live for the public, or an emergency ECB program | 55% | Uranus on ECB Sun x3 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "97",
    "window": "15 Jun to 15 Jul 2028",
    "claim": "A major war-risk event (Taiwan blockade exercise, NATO border incident, or Gulf strike)",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Mars conjunct Uranus; Saturn square Pluto",
    "original_row": "| 97 | 15 Jun to 15 Jul 2028 | A major war-risk event (Taiwan blockade exercise, NATO border incident, or Gulf strike) | 50% | Mars conjunct Uranus; Saturn square Pluto |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "98",
    "window": "2028",
    "claim": "A frontier lab found by a regulator to have misrepresented a capability or safety result",
    "probability": "60%",
    "signature": "Uranus on Aldebaran",
    "original_row": "| 98 | 2028 | A frontier lab found by a regulator to have misrepresented a capability or safety result | 60% | Uranus on Aldebaran |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "99",
    "window": "by 30 Sep 2028",
    "claim": "Humanoid robots in paid work in >10,000 non-Chinese workplaces",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Curve",
    "original_row": "| 99 | by 30 Sep 2028 | Humanoid robots in paid work in >10,000 non-Chinese workplaces | 55% | Curve |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "100",
    "window": "H2 2028",
    "claim": "Autonomous robot or drone-swarm incident killing more than ten people",
    "probability": "40%",
    "signature": "Eclipse opposite xAI and DeepSeek Plutos",
    "original_row": "| 100 | H2 2028 | Autonomous robot or drone-swarm incident killing more than ten people | 40% | Eclipse opposite xAI and DeepSeek Plutos |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "101",
    "window": "within 6 months of 22 Jul 2028",
    "claim": "A government falls or a PM resigns in Australia or New Zealand",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Eclipse path",
    "original_row": "| 101 | within 6 months of 22 Jul 2028 | A government falls or a PM resigns in Australia or New Zealand | 45% | Eclipse path |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "102",
    "window": "Q3 to Q4 2028",
    "claim": "A 2026 to 2027 trade or security treaty formally reopened",
    "probability": "65%",
    "signature": "Mercury retrograde Libra; Jupiter on US MC",
    "original_row": "| 102 | Q3 to Q4 2028 | A 2026 to 2027 trade or security treaty formally reopened | 65% | Mercury retrograde Libra; Jupiter on US MC |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "103",
    "window": "30 days around 22 Jul 2028",
    "claim": "Bitcoin moves more than 30%",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Eclipse opposite Bitcoin Jupiter",
    "original_row": "| 103 | 30 days around 22 Jul 2028 | Bitcoin moves more than 30% | 50% | Eclipse opposite Bitcoin Jupiter |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "104",
    "window": "Nov 2028",
    "claim": "US presidential result not conceded within 72 h; electors litigated to SCOTUS",
    "probability": "55% / 50%",
    "signature": "Strain 86; Jupiter on US Saturn",
    "original_row": "| 104 | Nov 2028 | US presidential result not conceded within 72 h; electors litigated to SCOTUS | 55% / 50% | Strain 86; Jupiter on US Saturn |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "105",
    "window": "31 Dec 2028",
    "claim": "Apple+Microsoft+Nvidia+Alphabet combined cap above $18.5T",
    "probability": "60%",
    "signature": "Jupiter opposite the Aries cohort",
    "original_row": "| 105 | 31 Dec 2028 | Apple+Microsoft+Nvidia+Alphabet combined cap above $18.5T | 60% | Jupiter opposite the Aries cohort |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "106",
    "window": "2029",
    "claim": "Formal end-of-life for a core open-web protocol or governance",
    "probability": "40%",
    "signature": "Eclipse on ARPANET Asc",
    "original_row": "| 106 | 2029 | Formal end-of-life for a core open-web protocol or governance | 40% | Eclipse on ARPANET Asc |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "107",
    "window": "by 31 Mar 2029",
    "claim": "National-scope debt relief or basic-income program enacted in a G20 country",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Jupiter on Spica",
    "original_row": "| 107 | by 31 Mar 2029 | National-scope debt relief or basic-income program enacted in a G20 country | 45% | Jupiter on Spica |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "108",
    "window": "3 Feb to 30 Jun 2029",
    "claim": "Confirmed state-actor theft of frontier weights",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Earth Rooster star 7; Mars on US Saturn",
    "original_row": "| 108 | 3 Feb to 30 Jun 2029 | Confirmed state-actor theft of frontier weights | 55% | Earth Rooster star 7; Mars on US Saturn |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "109",
    "window": "by 30 Jun 2029",
    "claim": "A multilateral frontier-AI agreement with verification signed by US, China and EU",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Saturn-Pluto square ends on Spica",
    "original_row": "| 109 | by 30 Jun 2029 | A multilateral frontier-AI agreement with verification signed by US, China and EU | 45% | Saturn-Pluto square ends on Spica |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "110",
    "window": "2029",
    "claim": "Security Council structure changed, or a founding member's funding ends entirely",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Eclipse on UN Saturn (0.08°)",
    "original_row": "| 110 | 2029 | Security Council structure changed, or a founding member's funding ends entirely | 45% | Eclipse on UN Saturn (0.08°) |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "111",
    "window": "2029",
    "claim": "Amazon break-up, AWS divestiture, or top leadership change",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Eclipse on Amazon Uranus (0.02°)",
    "original_row": "| 111 | 2029 | Amazon break-up, AWS divestiture, or top leadership change | 45% | Eclipse on Amazon Uranus (0.02°) |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "112",
    "window": "2029",
    "claim": "Change of Israeli prime minister",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Eclipse opposite Israel MC",
    "original_row": "| 112 | 2029 | Change of Israeli prime minister | 50% | Eclipse opposite Israel MC |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "113",
    "window": "H1 2029",
    "claim": "Branch-versus-branch constitutional confrontation resolved by SCOTUS",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Eclipse opposite US Mercury; Node opposite US Sun",
    "original_row": "| 113 | H1 2029 | Branch-versus-branch constitutional confrontation resolved by SCOTUS | 55% | Eclipse opposite US Mercury; Node opposite US Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "114",
    "window": "12 Jun 2029 to 12 Jun 2030",
    "claim": "SpaceX announces a result acknowledged as beyond every other system, or is restructured",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Eclipse on SpaceX listing Sun (0.10°)",
    "original_row": "| 114 | 12 Jun 2029 to 12 Jun 2030 | SpaceX announces a result acknowledged as beyond every other system, or is restructured | 55% | Eclipse on SpaceX listing Sun (0.10°) |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "115",
    "window": "1 May 2029 to 31 Mar 2030",
    "claim": "Nasdaq at least 30% below its prior record at some close",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Nasdaq's second Saturn return; Saturn on Algol",
    "original_row": "| 115 | 1 May 2029 to 31 Mar 2030 | Nasdaq at least 30% below its prior record at some close | 55% | Nasdaq's second Saturn return; Saturn on Algol |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "116",
    "window": "by 31 Dec 2029",
    "claim": "A mass spiritual movement (>10M) around AI, the end of work, or a sky event",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Neptune square Node; Apophis",
    "original_row": "| 116 | by 31 Dec 2029 | A mass spiritual movement (>10M) around AI, the end of work, or a sky event | 50% | Neptune square Node; Apophis |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "117",
    "window": "H2 2029",
    "claim": "Coup attempt or mutiny in Nigeria; leadership shock in China",
    "probability": "35% / 35%",
    "signature": "Lunar eclipse on Nigeria Mars (0.00°), opposite China Uranus",
    "original_row": "| 117 | H2 2029 | Coup attempt or mutiny in Nigeria; leadership shock in China | 35% / 35% | Lunar eclipse on Nigeria Mars (0.00°), opposite China Uranus |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "118",
    "window": "May to Dec 2029",
    "claim": "Meta control structure changes",
    "probability": "40%",
    "signature": "Eclipse opposite Meta Pluto; Saturn square Meta Sun",
    "original_row": "| 118 | May to Dec 2029 | Meta control structure changes | 40% | Eclipse opposite Meta Pluto; Saturn square Meta Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "119",
    "window": "Q3 2029",
    "claim": "Legacy financial or government system failure >48 h",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Eclipse on ENIAC Saturn and Fed Mars",
    "original_row": "| 119 | Q3 2029 | Legacy financial or government system failure >48 h | 50% | Eclipse on ENIAC Saturn and Fed Mars |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "120",
    "window": "2029",
    "claim": "UK general election or EU referendum; referendum specifically",
    "probability": "60% / 35%",
    "signature": "Eclipse on UK Moon; sade sati",
    "original_row": "| 120 | 2029 | UK general election or EU referendum; referendum specifically | 60% / 35% | Eclipse on UK Moon; sade sati |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "121",
    "window": "Sep to Oct 2029",
    "claim": "Sharpest monthly equity drawdown of the 2029 to 2030 cycle",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Saturn stationary on Algol",
    "original_row": "| 121 | Sep to Oct 2029 | Sharpest monthly equity drawdown of the 2029 to 2030 cycle | 55% | Saturn stationary on Algol |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "122",
    "window": "H2 2029",
    "claim": "Change of government or constitutional crisis in Indonesia",
    "probability": "40%",
    "signature": "Eclipse on Indonesia Saturn (0.09°)",
    "original_row": "| 122 | H2 2029 | Change of government or constitutional crisis in Indonesia | 40% | Eclipse on Indonesia Saturn (0.09°) |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "123",
    "window": "by 31 Dec 2030",
    "claim": "Musk no longer CEO of at least one of Tesla and SpaceX",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Uranus opposite both Plutos",
    "original_row": "| 123 | by 31 Dec 2030 | Musk no longer CEO of at least one of Tesla and SpaceX | 45% | Uranus opposite both Plutos |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "124",
    "window": "Dec 2029 to Dec 2030",
    "claim": "Federal Reserve Act amended, or Fed governance changed by statute or ruling",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Eclipse on Fed Mercury, opposite Fed Saturn",
    "original_row": "| 124 | Dec 2029 to Dec 2030 | Federal Reserve Act amended, or Fed governance changed by statute or ruling | 50% | Eclipse on Fed Mercury, opposite Fed Saturn |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "125",
    "window": "Q4 2029 to Q2 2030",
    "claim": "Confirmed fundamental-physics result produced primarily by an autonomous system",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Jupiter square Pluto; Node on Galactic Center",
    "original_row": "| 125 | Q4 2029 to Q2 2030 | Confirmed fundamental-physics result produced primarily by an autonomous system | 50% | Jupiter square Pluto; Node on Galactic Center |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "126",
    "window": "within 6 months of 20 Dec 2029",
    "claim": "Change of head of government in at least one of Canada, France, Turkey",
    "probability": "65%",
    "signature": "Lunar eclipse on all three Moons",
    "original_row": "| 126 | within 6 months of 20 Dec 2029 | Change of head of government in at least one of Canada, France, Turkey | 65% | Lunar eclipse on all three Moons |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "127",
    "window": "2030",
    "claim": "Japanese Article 9 vote scheduled or held",
    "probability": "40%",
    "signature": "Jupiter on Japan MC",
    "original_row": "| 127 | 2030 | Japanese Article 9 vote scheduled or held | 40% | Jupiter on Japan MC |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "128",
    "window": "Oct 2030 IMF figure",
    "claim": "2030 global growth below 2.5%",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Jupiter opposite Saturn",
    "original_row": "| 128 | Oct 2030 IMF figure | 2030 global growth below 2.5% | 45% | Jupiter opposite Saturn |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "129",
    "window": "by 31 Dec 2030",
    "claim": "Binding compute-threshold licensing with inspection in force in two of US, China, EU",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Saturn into Gemini; eclipse on Transformer Mercury (0.02°)",
    "original_row": "| 129 | by 31 Dec 2030 | Binding compute-threshold licensing with inspection in force in two of US, China, EU | 55% | Saturn into Gemini; eclipse on Transformer Mercury (0.02°) |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "130",
    "window": "2030 to 2031",
    "claim": "Eurozone monetary framework formally changed",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Eclipse on ECB Sun (0.11°)",
    "original_row": "| 130 | 2030 to 2031 | Eurozone monetary framework formally changed | 55% | Eclipse on ECB Sun (0.11°) |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "131",
    "window": "by 2031",
    "claim": "Human-made/human-taught services premium measurable in a G7 country's statistics",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Jupiter with Rahu",
    "original_row": "| 131 | by 2031 | Human-made/human-taught services premium measurable in a G7 country's statistics | 50% | Jupiter with Rahu |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "132",
    "window": "2030 to 2031",
    "claim": "Aramco dividend cut or ownership changed; oil demand peak dated to 2026 or 2027",
    "probability": "50% / 55%",
    "signature": "Saturn on Aramco Sun x3",
    "original_row": "| 132 | 2030 to 2031 | Aramco dividend cut or ownership changed; oil demand peak dated to 2026 or 2027 | 50% / 55% | Saturn on Aramco Sun x3 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "133",
    "window": "by end 2031",
    "claim": "A non-transformer family holds the top of every major measurement",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Uranus on Transformer Sun x3",
    "original_row": "| 133 | by end 2031 | A non-transformer family holds the top of every major measurement | 55% | Uranus on Transformer Sun x3 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "134",
    "window": "Jun 2030 to Apr 2031",
    "claim": "OpenAI's identity overturned (merger, state arrangement, or dissolution)",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Uranus opposite OpenAI Sun x3",
    "original_row": "| 134 | Jun 2030 to Apr 2031 | OpenAI's identity overturned (merger, state arrangement, or dissolution) | 50% | Uranus opposite OpenAI Sun x3 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "135",
    "window": "2030",
    "claim": "A religious body or schism >1M members around machine intelligence or its rejection",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "The religious month",
    "original_row": "| 135 | 2030 | A religious body or schism >1M members around machine intelligence or its rejection | 45% | The religious month |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "136",
    "window": "within a year of 25 Nov 2030",
    "claim": "Change of government in South Africa or Australia",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Eclipse path",
    "original_row": "| 136 | within a year of 25 Nov 2030 | Change of government in South Africa or Australia | 55% | Eclipse path |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "137",
    "window": "2031",
    "claim": "A standard-model-changing result with an autonomous system as principal discoverer",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Jupiter on Galactic Center x3",
    "original_row": "| 137 | 2031 | A standard-model-changing result with an autonomous system as principal discoverer | 50% | Jupiter on Galactic Center x3 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "138",
    "window": "2031",
    "claim": "Record year for hand-made and artisan sales on major platforms",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Venus and Mercury retrograde in Leo",
    "original_row": "| 138 | 2031 | Record year for hand-made and artisan sales on major platforms | 50% | Venus and Mercury retrograde in Leo |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "139",
    "window": "by end 2032",
    "claim": "Two G7 states hold Bitcoin as reserve by statute, or ban it as payment",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Neptune square Bitcoin Sun x3",
    "original_row": "| 139 | by end 2032 | Two G7 states hold Bitcoin as reserve by statute, or ban it as payment | 50% | Neptune square Bitcoin Sun x3 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "140",
    "window": "Q4 2031",
    "claim": "The Binding's negotiating text published in draft",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Jupiter opposite Saturn ends; Uranus on the Anticenter",
    "original_row": "| 140 | Q4 2031 | The Binding's negotiating text published in draft | 50% | Jupiter opposite Saturn ends; Uranus on the Anticenter |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "141",
    "window": "2031",
    "claim": "India announces a world-largest-class frontier result or facility; India-Pakistan exchange",
    "probability": "60% / 35%",
    "signature": "Eclipse on India Asc",
    "original_row": "| 141 | 2031 | India announces a world-largest-class frontier result or facility; India-Pakistan exchange | 60% / 35% | Eclipse on India Asc |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "142",
    "window": "Jul 2031 to Dec 2032",
    "claim": "Oracle acquired, restructured in bankruptcy, or broken up",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Uranus on Oracle Sun; Pluto opposite Oracle Saturn",
    "original_row": "| 142 | Jul 2031 to Dec 2032 | Oracle acquired, restructured in bankruptcy, or broken up | 50% | Uranus on Oracle Sun; Pluto opposite Oracle Saturn |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "143",
    "window": "1 Jun to 31 Aug 2032",
    "claim": "A binding instrument treating a frontier system as a legal party signed or in force",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Saturn conjunct Uranus 28 Jun 2032",
    "original_row": "| 143 | 1 Jun to 31 Aug 2032 | A binding instrument treating a frontier system as a legal party signed or in force | 50% | Saturn conjunct Uranus 28 Jun 2032 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "144",
    "window": "Aug 2032 to 2039",
    "claim": "First human birth from in-vitro gametogenesis; a G20 state legalizes it",
    "probability": "60% / 50%",
    "signature": "Uranus in Cancer",
    "original_row": "| 144 | Aug 2032 to 2039 | First human birth from in-vitro gametogenesis; a G20 state legalizes it | 60% / 50% | Uranus in Cancer |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "145",
    "window": "2032 data",
    "claim": "South Korea's fertility rate above 1.0",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Uranus in Cancer; measured rise 0.72 to 0.80",
    "original_row": "| 145 | 2032 data | South Korea's fertility rate above 1.0 | 45% | Uranus in Cancer; measured rise 0.72 to 0.80 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "146",
    "window": "by end 2034",
    "claim": "Meta's 2004 chart ends",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Pluto on Meta Sun x5",
    "original_row": "| 146 | by end 2034 | Meta's 2004 chart ends | 55% | Pluto on Meta Sun x5 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "147",
    "window": "by end 2033",
    "claim": "Nvidia's share of frontier training compute below 50%",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Neptune on Nvidia and Microsoft Suns",
    "original_row": "| 147 | by end 2033 | Nvidia's share of frontier training compute below 50% | 55% | Neptune on Nvidia and Microsoft Suns |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "148",
    "window": "2032 to 2033",
    "claim": "State restructuring of Alibaba",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Saturn on Alibaba Sun x3",
    "original_row": "| 148 | 2032 to 2033 | State restructuring of Alibaba | 50% | Saturn on Alibaba Sun x3 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "149",
    "window": "by end 2033",
    "claim": "US CBDC launched, or Fed structure replaced by statute",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Pluto square Fed Moon",
    "original_row": "| 149 | by end 2033 | US CBDC launched, or Fed structure replaced by statute | 45% | Pluto square Fed Moon |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "150",
    "window": "by 2035",
    "claim": "India among the three largest economies (IMF nominal); hosts a leading non-Western lab",
    "probability": "50% / 55%",
    "signature": "Pluto on India MC",
    "original_row": "| 150 | by 2035 | India among the three largest economies (IMF nominal); hosts a leading non-Western lab | 50% / 55% | Pluto on India MC |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "151",
    "window": "Oct 2032 to Jun 2034",
    "claim": "Change of head of state in Russia",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Saturn opposite Russia Sun",
    "original_row": "| 151 | Oct 2032 to Jun 2034 | Change of head of state in Russia | 45% | Saturn opposite Russia Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "152",
    "window": "2033",
    "claim": "Change of government and constitutional vote in Japan",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Eclipse opposite Japan Sun (0.02°)",
    "original_row": "| 152 | 2033 | Change of government and constitutional vote in Japan | 50% | Eclipse opposite Japan Sun (0.02°) |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "153",
    "window": "2033",
    "claim": "Change of chancellor or federal election in Germany",
    "probability": "60%",
    "signature": "Eclipse on Germany MC (0.31°)",
    "original_row": "| 153 | 2033 | Change of chancellor or federal election in Germany | 60% | Eclipse on Germany MC (0.31°) |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "154",
    "window": "by end 2033",
    "claim": "A single network or protocol used by more than half of humanity",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Jupiter conjunct Pluto in Aquarius",
    "original_row": "| 154 | by end 2033 | A single network or protocol used by more than half of humanity | 50% | Jupiter conjunct Pluto in Aquarius |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "155",
    "window": "1 Jun 2033 to 30 Jun 2034",
    "claim": "At least one of the US and China has a new head of state or government; both",
    "probability": "65% / 40%",
    "signature": "Saturn square Neptune x3; Saturn on US Sun, square China Sun",
    "original_row": "| 155 | 1 Jun 2033 to 30 Jun 2034 | At least one of the US and China has a new head of state or government; both | 65% / 40% | Saturn square Neptune x3; Saturn on US Sun, square China Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "156",
    "window": "by 2034",
    "claim": "UK rejoins the customs union or single market by treaty in force",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Saturn on UK MC",
    "original_row": "| 156 | by 2034 | UK rejoins the customs union or single market by treaty in force | 50% | Saturn on UK MC |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "157",
    "window": "by 2035",
    "claim": "WTO replaced, merged or suspended as trade arbiter",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Eclipse on WTO Asc (0.10°)",
    "original_row": "| 157 | by 2035 | WTO replaced, merged or suspended as trade arbiter | 50% | Eclipse on WTO Asc (0.10°) |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "158",
    "window": "within 18 months of 20 Mar 2034",
    "claim": "Three governments on the eclipse path change by force or crisis",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Eclipse Nigeria to China",
    "original_row": "| 158 | within 18 months of 20 Mar 2034 | Three governments on the eclipse path change by force or crisis | 55% | Eclipse Nigeria to China |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "159",
    "window": "by 2035",
    "claim": "Tesla's founding structure ends",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Uranus on Tesla Saturn then Sun",
    "original_row": "| 159 | by 2035 | Tesla's founding structure ends | 50% | Uranus on Tesla Saturn then Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "160",
    "window": "31 Dec 2034",
    "claim": "Nvidia not the world's most valuable company",
    "probability": "65%",
    "signature": "Neptune x3 and lunar eclipse on Nvidia Sun",
    "original_row": "| 160 | 31 Dec 2034 | Nvidia not the world's most valuable company | 65% | Neptune x3 and lunar eclipse on Nvidia Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "161",
    "window": "2035 data",
    "claim": "Largest single-year rise in US religious affiliation on record",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Jupiter conjunct Neptune",
    "original_row": "| 161 | 2035 data | Largest single-year rise in US religious affiliation on record | 50% | Jupiter conjunct Neptune |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "162",
    "window": "by end 2036",
    "claim": "A declared movement >100M adherents around an AI-mediated revelation",
    "probability": "40%",
    "signature": "Jupiter conjunct Neptune; Saturn opposite Pluto follows",
    "original_row": "| 162 | by end 2036 | A declared movement >100M adherents around an AI-mediated revelation | 40% | Jupiter conjunct Neptune; Saturn opposite Pluto follows |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "163",
    "window": "by end 2037",
    "claim": "Two of Apple, ASML, Microsoft, Nvidia no longer independent",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Uranus square the Aries cohort",
    "original_row": "| 163 | by end 2037 | Two of Apple, ASML, Microsoft, Nvidia no longer independent | 50% | Uranus square the Aries cohort |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "164",
    "window": "by 2037",
    "claim": "Nasdaq >90% autonomous volume and merged or re-chartered",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Pluto on Nasdaq Sun",
    "original_row": "| 164 | by 2037 | Nasdaq >90% autonomous volume and merged or re-chartered | 55% | Pluto on Nasdaq Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "165",
    "window": "within a year of 2 Sep 2035",
    "claim": "Leadership change in China, N. Korea, S. Korea or Japan; Beijing specifically",
    "probability": "70% / 35%",
    "signature": "Eclipse path",
    "original_row": "| 165 | within a year of 2 Sep 2035 | Leadership change in China, N. Korea, S. Korea or Japan; Beijing specifically | 70% / 35% | Eclipse path |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "166",
    "window": "2035 to 2036",
    "claim": "A protocol-level break or demonstrated attack on Bitcoin's security",
    "probability": "40%",
    "signature": "Uranus opposite Bitcoin Sun; eclipse on its Uranus (0.12°)",
    "original_row": "| 166 | 2035 to 2036 | A protocol-level break or demonstrated attack on Bitcoin's security | 40% | Uranus opposite Bitcoin Sun; eclipse on its Uranus (0.12°) |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "167",
    "window": "Aug 2035 to Dec 2037",
    "claim": "US constitutional convention called, or executive amendment passes Congress",
    "probability": "40%",
    "signature": "Uranus on US Sun",
    "original_row": "| 167 | Aug 2035 to Dec 2037 | US constitutional convention called, or executive amendment passes Congress | 40% | Uranus on US Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "168",
    "window": "by 31 Aug 2036",
    "claim": "A G7 state entrenches civilian control of frontier systems (a) or suffers an unconstitutional transfer of power (b)",
    "probability": "55% (35% a, 30% b)",
    "signature": "Saturn opposite Pluto x3 in an 11 year",
    "original_row": "| 168 | by 31 Aug 2036 | A G7 state entrenches civilian control of frontier systems (a) or suffers an unconstitutional transfer of power (b) | 55% (35% a, 30% b) | Saturn opposite Pluto x3 in an 11 year |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "169",
    "window": "by Aug 2037",
    "claim": "If Meta still exists under its 2004 chart on 7 Aug 2036, it does not by Aug 2037",
    "probability": "70% cond.",
    "signature": "Lunar eclipse on Meta Sun (0.00°)",
    "original_row": "| 169 | by Aug 2037 | If Meta still exists under its 2004 chart on 7 Aug 2036, it does not by Aug 2037 | 70% cond. | Lunar eclipse on Meta Sun (0.00°) |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "170",
    "window": "2035 to 2037",
    "claim": "EU treaty re-founded, or a member exits",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Saturn on EU Asc; Uranus opposite UN MC",
    "original_row": "| 170 | 2035 to 2037 | EU treaty re-founded, or a member exits | 45% | Saturn on EU Asc; Uranus opposite UN MC |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "171",
    "window": "2036 to 2037",
    "claim": "Change of president in Indonesia",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Lunar eclipse on Indonesia Sun",
    "original_row": "| 171 | 2036 to 2037 | Change of president in Indonesia | 50% | Lunar eclipse on Indonesia Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "172",
    "window": "2036 to 2038",
    "claim": "Constitutional crisis or change of form of government in India",
    "probability": "40%",
    "signature": "Pluto opposite India Sun",
    "original_row": "| 172 | 2036 to 2038 | Constitutional crisis or change of form of government in India | 40% | Pluto opposite India Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "173",
    "window": "2037 to 2038",
    "claim": "Personhood versus property of the new minds is the defining divide in three G7 elections",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Neptune conjunct Eris",
    "original_row": "| 173 | 2037 to 2038 | Personhood versus property of the new minds is the defining divide in three G7 elections | 55% | Neptune conjunct Eris |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "174",
    "window": "by end 2038",
    "claim": "Google's search business separated from its AI business",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Saturn on Google Sun x3",
    "original_row": "| 174 | by end 2038 | Google's search business separated from its AI business | 50% | Saturn on Google Sun x3 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "175",
    "window": "by end 2038",
    "claim": "Mandatory licensing of medical agents in force in the EU and US",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Saturn in Virgo",
    "original_row": "| 175 | by end 2038 | Mandatory licensing of medical agents in force in the EU and US | 55% | Saturn in Virgo |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "176",
    "window": "by end 2039",
    "claim": "An age-related decline reversal approved; artificial wombs to term; household humanoids in >10% of homes in a G20 country",
    "probability": "50% / 40% / 45%",
    "signature": "Jupiter conjunct Uranus in Cancer",
    "original_row": "| 176 | by end 2039 | An age-related decline reversal approved; artificial wombs to term; household humanoids in >10% of homes in a G20 country | 50% / 40% / 45% | Jupiter conjunct Uranus in Cancer |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "177",
    "window": "by end 2040",
    "claim": "Dollar below 50% of COFER reserves; a G7 universal dividend funded by compute or AI tax",
    "probability": "50% / 45%",
    "signature": "Neptune into Taurus",
    "original_row": "| 177 | by end 2040 | Dollar below 50% of COFER reserves; a G7 universal dividend funded by compute or AI tax | 50% / 45% | Neptune into Taurus |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "178",
    "window": "2038 to 2040",
    "claim": "Formal end of China's current succession model; change in Israel's constitutional form",
    "probability": "40% / 35%",
    "signature": "Pluto square China MC and Israel Sun",
    "original_row": "| 178 | 2038 to 2040 | Formal end of China's current succession model; change in Israel's constitutional form | 40% / 35% | Pluto square China MC and Israel Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "179",
    "window": "by 2040",
    "claim": "Aramco not majority state-owned, or Saudi exports below half of 2025",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Uranus on Aramco Pluto",
    "original_row": "| 179 | by 2040 | Aramco not majority state-owned, or Saudi exports below half of 2025 | 45% | Uranus on Aramco Pluto |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "180",
    "window": "Oct 2038 to Jul 2039",
    "claim": "Mass political violence or insurrection in three G20 countries; a G20 government overthrown by force",
    "probability": "55% / 30%",
    "signature": "Uranus square Eris x3; peak strain",
    "original_row": "| 180 | Oct 2038 to Jul 2039 | Mass political violence or insurrection in three G20 countries; a G20 government overthrown by force | 55% / 30% | Uranus square Eris x3; peak strain |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "181",
    "window": "2039",
    "claim": "A labor or basic-income party wins a G7 national election",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Liberatory side of 180",
    "original_row": "| 181 | 2039 | A labor or basic-income party wins a G7 national election | 45% | Liberatory side of 180 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "182",
    "window": "by end 2040; by 2041",
    "claim": "Dollar no longer sole US legal tender; US debt restructured, re-denominated or partly repudiated",
    "probability": "35% / 30%",
    "signature": "Uranus on US Mercury, opposite US Pluto",
    "original_row": "| 182 | by end 2040; by 2041 | Dollar no longer sole US legal tender; US debt restructured, re-denominated or partly repudiated | 35% / 30% | Uranus on US Mercury, opposite US Pluto |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "183",
    "window": "2038 to 2042",
    "claim": "UN charter revised or UN superseded",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Neptune opposite UN Sun",
    "original_row": "| 183 | 2038 to 2042 | UN charter revised or UN superseded | 50% | Neptune opposite UN Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "184",
    "window": "2040",
    "claim": "No top-three system descends from a 2026 frontier lineage",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Neptune and Uranus on the 2023 to 2026 machine Plutos",
    "original_row": "| 184 | 2040 | No top-three system descends from a 2026 frontier lineage | 45% | Neptune and Uranus on the 2023 to 2026 machine Plutos |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "185",
    "window": "Nov 2039 to Dec 2040",
    "claim": "Change of paramount leader in China",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Saturn on China Sun x3",
    "original_row": "| 185 | Nov 2039 to Dec 2040 | Change of paramount leader in China | 50% | Saturn on China Sun x3 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "186",
    "window": "Aug 2039 to Dec 2041",
    "claim": "Two hereditary or life-tenure heads of state lose their positions",
    "probability": "60%",
    "signature": "Uranus into Leo",
    "original_row": "| 186 | Aug 2039 to Dec 2041 | Two hereditary or life-tenure heads of state lose their positions | 60% | Uranus into Leo |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "187",
    "window": "by 2042",
    "claim": "A G7 state gives an AI a formal constitutional role (veto, seat, mandated consultation)",
    "probability": "30%",
    "signature": "Uranus in Leo",
    "original_row": "| 187 | by 2042 | A G7 state gives an AI a formal constitutional role (veto, seat, mandated consultation) | 30% | Uranus in Leo |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "188",
    "window": "1 Aug 2039 to 31 Jul 2040",
    "claim": "More than half of G20 heads of government out of office",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Nearly every chart hit",
    "original_row": "| 188 | 1 Aug 2039 to 31 Jul 2040 | More than half of G20 heads of government out of office | 55% | Nearly every chart hit |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "189",
    "window": "2040 to 2041",
    "claim": "Euro replaced, re-denominated, or eurozone loses a member",
    "probability": "40%",
    "signature": "Lunar eclipse opposite ECB Mars (0.04°), on ECB Pluto",
    "original_row": "| 189 | 2040 to 2041 | Euro replaced, re-denominated, or eurozone loses a member | 40% | Lunar eclipse opposite ECB Mars (0.04°), on ECB Pluto |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "190",
    "window": "by 2041",
    "claim": "Google's 1998 chart ends",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Neptune on Google Saturn; eclipse on Google Pluto",
    "original_row": "| 190 | by 2041 | Google's 1998 chart ends | 50% | Neptune on Google Saturn; eclipse on Google Pluto |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "191",
    "window": "1 Oct 2040 to 31 Mar 2041",
    "claim": "A charter for a global body with binding authority over frontier systems, compute or a global commons takes effect",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Jupiter conjunct Saturn 31 Oct 2040; US Saturn return",
    "original_row": "| 191 | 1 Oct 2040 to 31 Mar 2041 | A charter for a global body with binding authority over frontier systems, compute or a global commons takes effect | 45% | Jupiter conjunct Saturn 31 Oct 2040; US Saturn return |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "192",
    "window": "by 31 Dec 2041",
    "claim": "Three of Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, ASML no longer under their founding charts",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Saturn opposite the Aries cohort at the Handover",
    "original_row": "| 192 | by 31 Dec 2041 | Three of Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, ASML no longer under their founding charts | 50% | Saturn opposite the Aries cohort at the Handover |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "193",
    "window": "2040 to 2042",
    "claim": "Whatever Anthropic became in 2027 to 2028 is itself overturned",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Uranus opposite, Neptune square Anthropic Saturn and Sun",
    "original_row": "| 193 | 2040 to 2042 | Whatever Anthropic became in 2027 to 2028 is itself overturned | 55% | Uranus opposite, Neptune square Anthropic Saturn and Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "194",
    "window": "2040 to 2043",
    "claim": "US constitutional amendment ratified or convention held",
    "probability": "40%",
    "signature": "US Saturn return",
    "original_row": "| 194 | 2040 to 2043 | US constitutional amendment ratified or convention held | 40% | US Saturn return |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "195",
    "window": "by 2042",
    "claim": "US under-40 population majority non-white (census); median worker's income not primarily wages",
    "probability": "55% / 40%",
    "signature": "Pluto on US Moon x3",
    "original_row": "| 195 | by 2042 | US under-40 population majority non-white (census); median worker's income not primarily wages | 55% / 40% | Pluto on US Moon x3 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "196",
    "window": "by end 2042",
    "claim": "1945 UN charter superseded or fundamentally amended",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Saturn on UN Sun; eclipse on UN Sun",
    "original_row": "| 196 | by end 2042 | 1945 UN charter superseded or fundamentally amended | 50% | Saturn on UN Sun; eclipse on UN Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "197",
    "window": "2041 to 2042",
    "claim": "Regional war or state collapse in the Horn or Great Lakes",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Eclipse path 30 Apr 2041",
    "original_row": "| 197 | 2041 to 2042 | Regional war or state collapse in the Horn or Great Lakes | 50% | Eclipse path 30 Apr 2041 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "198",
    "window": "by 2042",
    "claim": "Japan's constitutional order changed (Article 9 or succession law)",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Eclipse on Japan Sun; eclipse over Japan",
    "original_row": "| 198 | by 2042 | Japan's constitutional order changed (Article 9 or succession law) | 50% | Eclipse on Japan Sun; eclipse over Japan |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "199",
    "window": "Apr 2042 to Dec 2043",
    "claim": "Taiwan Strait military crisis (blockade or strike)",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Eclipse on TSMC Mars (0.23°); Uranus square, Neptune opposite TSMC Pluto",
    "original_row": "| 199 | Apr 2042 to Dec 2043 | Taiwan Strait military crisis (blockade or strike) | 45% | Eclipse on TSMC Mars (0.23°); Uranus square, Neptune opposite TSMC Pluto |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "200",
    "window": "by end 2043",
    "claim": "Trust in the post-Handover authority below 30% in a cross-national survey",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Saturn opposite Neptune x5",
    "original_row": "| 200 | by end 2043 | Trust in the post-Handover authority below 30% in a cross-national survey | 55% | Saturn opposite Neptune x5 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "201",
    "window": "2043 to 2044",
    "claim": "A successful secession, a new UN member, or partition of a G20 state",
    "probability": "45%",
    "signature": "Saturn square Uranus x3",
    "original_row": "| 201 | 2043 to 2044 | A successful secession, a new UN member, or partition of a G20 state | 45% | Saturn square Uranus x3 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "202",
    "window": "Nov 2042 to Dec 2043",
    "claim": "A cure or durable remission for a major chronic condition approved in a G7 jurisdiction",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Uranus conjunct Chiron x3",
    "original_row": "| 202 | Nov 2042 to Dec 2043 | A cure or durable remission for a major chronic condition approved in a G7 jurisdiction | 55% | Uranus conjunct Chiron x3 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "203",
    "window": "by 2044",
    "claim": "Germany leaves the eurozone, or the EU as constituted by Maastricht ends",
    "probability": "35%",
    "signature": "Eclipse on Germany Sun; Neptune opposite EU Sun",
    "original_row": "| 203 | by 2044 | Germany leaves the eurozone, or the EU as constituted by Maastricht ends | 35% | Eclipse on Germany Sun; Neptune opposite EU Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "204",
    "window": "by end 2044",
    "claim": "The UN's founding chart ends (new body, new charter)",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Two eclipses on and opposite the UN Asc",
    "original_row": "| 204 | by end 2044 | The UN's founding chart ends (new body, new charter) | 50% | Two eclipses on and opposite the UN Asc |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "205",
    "window": "by end 2044",
    "claim": "A non-human intelligence recognized by a state as a religious or moral authority; a head of state cites the four resets",
    "probability": "40% / 30%",
    "signature": "Pluto into Pisces; the four resets",
    "original_row": "| 205 | by end 2044 | A non-human intelligence recognized by a state as a religious or moral authority; a head of state cites the four resets | 40% / 30% | Pluto into Pisces; the four resets |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "206",
    "window": "2044",
    "claim": "The Gulf settlement formally ended or re-founded",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Solar-return eclipse on the Iran war chart",
    "original_row": "| 206 | 2044 | The Gulf settlement formally ended or re-founded | 50% | Solar-return eclipse on the Iran war chart |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "207",
    "window": "2044",
    "claim": "TSMC's 1987 chart ends",
    "probability": "50%",
    "signature": "Pluto on TSMC Sun x2",
    "original_row": "| 207 | 2044 | TSMC's 1987 chart ends | 50% | Pluto on TSMC Sun x2 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "208",
    "window": "2044",
    "claim": "India's republic re-founded or formally reorganized",
    "probability": "40%",
    "signature": "Uranus on India Sun",
    "original_row": "| 208 | 2044 | India's republic re-founded or formally reorganized | 40% | Uranus on India Sun |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "209",
    "window": "Nov to Dec 2044",
    "claim": "Confrontation between a global body and a major state",
    "probability": "55%",
    "signature": "Saturn square Pluto 4 Nov 2044",
    "original_row": "| 209 | Nov to Dec 2044 | Confrontation between a global body and a major state | 55% | Saturn square Pluto 4 Nov 2044 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "210",
    "window": "by end 2035",
    "claim": "A G7 state has a universal, unconditional income in force for all adult residents",
    "probability": "40%",
    "signature": "Saturn in Taurus; Jupiter opposite Saturn x5 (eir position, stage 2)",
    "original_row": "| 210 | by end 2035 | A G7 state has a universal, unconditional income in force for all adult residents | 40% | Saturn in Taurus; Jupiter opposite Saturn x5 (eir position, stage 2) |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "211",
    "window": "by end 2040",
    "claim": "Same as 210, by 2040",
    "probability": "60%",
    "signature": "Neptune into Taurus",
    "original_row": "| 211 | by end 2040 | Same as 210, by 2040 | 60% | Neptune into Taurus |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "212",
    "window": "by end 2043",
    "claim": "A G20 state or the Handover body allots resources on a scored measure of individual creative, exploratory, scientific or civic contribution, at national scale",
    "probability": "35%",
    "signature": "Jupiter conjunct Pluto in Aquarius; Pluto on Deneb Algedi; Jupiter conjunct Saturn in Libra; Saturn exalted in Libra (eir position, stage 3)",
    "original_row": "| 212 | by end 2043 | A G20 state or the Handover body allots resources on a scored measure of individual creative, exploratory, scientific or civic contribution, at national scale | 35% | Jupiter conjunct Pluto in Aquarius; Pluto on Deneb Algedi; Jupiter conjunct Saturn in Libra; Saturn exalted in Libra (eir position, stage 3) |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "213",
    "window": "by end 2044",
    "claim": "The stage-3 system is the primary channel of resources for a majority of a G20 population",
    "probability": "15%",
    "signature": "Pluto into Pisces (eir position, stage 4)",
    "original_row": "| 213 | by end 2044 | The stage-3 system is the primary channel of resources for a majority of a G20 population | 15% | Pluto into Pisces (eir position, stage 4) |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "214",
    "window": "by end 2030",
    "claim": "Eir position: a G7 state has a universal, unconditional income in force for all adult residents (stage 2, earlier)",
    "probability": "20%",
    "signature": "Saturn in Taurus 2028 to 2030; Jupiter with Rahu Jan 2030",
    "original_row": "| 214 | by end 2030 | Eir position: a G7 state has a universal, unconditional income in force for all adult residents (stage 2, earlier) | 20% | Saturn in Taurus 2028 to 2030; Jupiter with Rahu Jan 2030 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "215",
    "window": "by end 2034",
    "claim": "Eir position: a G20 state or a network used by a quarter of humanity allots resources on a scored measure of individual contribution (stage 3, earlier)",
    "probability": "15%",
    "signature": "Jupiter conjunct Pluto in Aquarius 4 Feb 2033",
    "original_row": "| 215 | by end 2034 | Eir position: a G20 state or a network used by a quarter of humanity allots resources on a scored measure of individual contribution (stage 3, earlier) | 15% | Jupiter conjunct Pluto in Aquarius 4 Feb 2033 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  },
  {
    "id": "216",
    "window": "by end 2043",
    "claim": "Eir position: the stage-3 system is the primary channel of resources for a majority of a G20 population (stage 4, earlier)",
    "probability": "10%",
    "signature": "The Handover 31 Oct 2040; Saturn exalted sidereal Libra 2041 to 2043",
    "original_row": "| 216 | by end 2043 | Eir position: the stage-3 system is the primary channel of resources for a majority of a G20 population (stage 4, earlier) | 10% | The Handover 31 Oct 2040; Saturn exalted sidereal Libra 2041 to 2043 |",
    "probability_status": "Original author subjective estimate; not an ephemeris-derived or calibrated probability",
    "source": "second-curve-v7"
  }
]